| 论文名称 | 替代能源应用于私有运具之环境效益评估 |
| 年别 | 109 |
| 学位 | 硕士 |
| 学校系所 | 国立成功大学-管理学院 - 交通管理科学系 |
| 作者 | 吴怡葇 |
| 指导教授 | 张瀞之 |
| 论文摘要 | 近年来台湾私有运具之使用加剧了温室效应与空气污染，造成环境冲击及影响到人类健康。本研究以台湾私有运具能源面为研究对象，探讨替代能源(风力发电、水力发电、太阳能发电与氢能)及传统能源(能源火力燃煤发电、天然气发电与汽油)生命周期碳足迹温室气体排放，借此提出减排策略，评估若实施减排策略后，台湾2030年及2050年温室气体及细悬浮微粒(PM2.5)是否能落实《国家自订预期贡献》与《温室气体减量及管理法》之排放规范。最后探讨随着替代能源比例提升，运用失能调整生命年(Disability Adjusted Life Year)为换算外部环境健康成本单位基础，借以判断因细悬浮微粒(PM2.5)所造成的失能调整生命年，以了解私有运具外部环境健康成本改善幅度。 研究结果显示，替代能源中以风能排放最低其次分别为水力发电、氢能与太阳能；传统能源以火力燃煤发电排放最高，其次为天然气与汽油。 2030年使用30%低排放车辆取代汽油车及使用35%替代能源与65%传统能源，温室气体排放量比2005年(BAU2005)减少607.99万公吨(约21%)。PM2.5排放量比2005年(BAU2005)减少403.72公吨(约28%)，外部环境健康成本比基础情境(BAU2030)改善 188.79DALY (约22%)，亦及 188.79 个失能调整生命年。2050年使用60%低排放车辆取代汽油车及使用 86%替代能源与14%传统能源，温室气体排放量比2005年(BAU2005)减少1804.28万公吨(约61%)。PM2.5排放量比2005年(BAU2005)减少865.42公吨(约59%)，外部环境健康成本比基础情境(BAU2050)改善 447.31DALY (约55%)，亦即447.31 个失能调整生命年。总结研究结果，台湾私有运具未来若能以替代能源取代传统能源，将能够大幅减少台湾全球暖化及空气污染，进而提升台湾人民之健康品质。 This study examines the life cycle carbon footprint of greenhouse gases and PM2.5 emissions of alternative energies (wind power, hydropower, solar energy, and hydrogen energy) and of traditional energies (coal-fired power, natural gas, and gasoline) and proposes mitigation strategies to reduce global warming and the air pollution caused by Taiwan’s private vehicles. The study then assesses the degree to which emissions are reduced if the goals of Taiwan’s the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and the Greenhouse Gas Reduction and Management Act mitigation strategies are met by 2030 and 2050. Finally, the study explores the external environmental health costs of the private vehicle (based on Disability-Adjusted Life Year) and the degree to which improvements occur. Results show that wind power has the lowest level of greenhouse gas emissions and coal-fired power has the highest. The mitigation strategy for 2030 means that low-emission vehicles will replace 30% of gasoline vehicles, and using 35% of alternative energies and 65% of traditional energies; GHG emissions and PM2.5 will decrease by 6,079,900 tons and 403.72 tons compared to 2005; and external environmental health costs will improve by 188.79 DALY compared with BAU2030. In 2050, low-emissions vehicles will replace 60% of gasoline vehicles; 86% of traditional energy will replace alternative energy; GHG and PM2.5 emissions will decrease by 18,042,800 tons and 403.72 tons compared to 2005; and external environmental health costs will improve by 447.31 DALY compared with BAU2050. |
| 附件下载 | (电子档于114-06-05后开放下载)： 替代能源应用于私有运具之环境效益评估.pdf |
| 张贴日 | 2025/07/15 |
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